Eastern Region
‘BLOSSOM – Bridging long-term scenario and strategy analysis: organisation and methods’-Poland country case study- PDF Print
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EEA Technical report, No 5/2011
European Environment Agency, 2011

This report sets out the current status of the main institutional and governance arrangements for futures thinking in Poland with respect to environmental — and environment-related — policymaking. It is an update of the case study report completed under the previous Blossom project in October 2009.. The report particularly tries to identify the success factors in ensuring futures thinking is embedded in environmental policymaking; however, barriers to success are also identified.

Despite 20 years of transition, broad-based futures analysis and strategic thinking are still weak in policymaking in Poland. This is in part a result of the 'silo mentality' of governance (i.e. compartmentalisation and a difficulty in communication and cooperation among ministries). nother major issue is the short-term focus of much policymaking. This situation may be changing and it is expected that current reforms will make the management of long-term policy programming and implementation more effective and more generally improve the quality of the functioning of public institutions.

Poland's government has established two large and high-profile future and foresight studies in recent years; however, it is still too early to make a clear evaluation of their success in terms of shaping long-term policies. One important factor behind the conception and development of both the national foresight programme and 'Poland 2030' has been high-level political support — in particular, strong support at ministerial level (and, for 'Poland 2030', from the Prime Minister's Office). Another factor that should lead to success is the close link made from the start of these initiatives and the formulation of policy strategies (science and long-term development).

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